This is why you have PR departments. Being on top of the HN front page, news sites, etc matters a lot. Even if you can't be the first, it's important to dilute the attention as much as possible to reduce the limelight your competitors get.

"Prep the next three point releases now, but don't release any until I say so. None needs to be noticably better or even different, just has to have a higher number." -CEO of AI companies

How do they know when it's time? Corporate espionage? Or do they just have Next Thing queued up months in advance and ready to go.

Given the GPT5 rumors, August is just getting started.

Given the Gregorian Calendar and the planet's path through its orbit, August is just getting started.

This legitimately made me chuckle.

Good one, made my day

No, the rotation of the Earth around its axis did so.

Technically, it Earth's rotation gives us day and night. Doesn't move the calendar, which is through Earth's orbital revolution

Exactly the GP's point (the rotation of the Earth "made their day").

Given the majesty and nobility of HN commenters, augustness is just getting started.

I'm all buckled up and ready for what's effectively GPT 4.6

What a time to be alive

as if they wait competitor first then launch it at the same time to make market decide which one is best

I think this means that GPT5 is better - you can't launch a worse model after the competitor supersedes you - you have to show that you're in the lead even if its just for a day.

Not sure that this is true. Are there a lot of people waiting anxiously to adopt the next model on the day of release and expecting some huge work advantage?

If you’re using an LLM near the limits of what it can do then a small improvement in performance is noticeable.

Absolutely.

My coworkers/partners and I haven’t stopped talking about it for weeks. I’m one of them I guess, but we’ll see. The ARC graph I saw, if accurate, is really incredible.

None of them seem to have published any papers associated with them on how these new models advanced the state-of-the-art though. =^(

china will do that for them

There's so many leakers in every lab

If only there were more leakers in the FBI or DOJ.

It's a risky game to leak the secrets of the gang that has a legal monopoly on violence.

Slipped in the bathroom and hung himself on the shower curtains. Oh, what a shame.

Sneakier is safer.

They likely sit on releases ready to go.

It's definitely a coincidence

It's not a coincidence or a cartel, it's PR counterprogramming.

Agree 100%

If you look at the past, whenever Google announces something major, OpenAI almost always releases something as well.

People forget realize that OpenAI was started to compete with Google on AI.

Any source or just vibes?

In my experience it take weeks if not months to coordinate a release, from testing to documentation to drafting press releases in multiple languages to benchmarks and website updates.

I’m old and I’ve been in this industry most of my life. I have never once seen or heard of all of that work being done and the company just waiting on competitors before pulling the trigger.

But is it just a coincidence