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Failure was a foregone conclusion non matter what time horizon you wanted to apply.

The bank had wiped its equity before depositors drew on it. It was a matter of time it failed. Its loan portfolio is impaired. Its startups are burning DDA cash without vc funding. The majority of its capital is locked up on long duration bonds.

The bank was bleeding from a thousand cuts. It was put out of misery by a good old run to the head. Eventually some startup was going to try drawing on their checking and it was going to fail.

A bank run is just a symptom of the disease (mismanaged bank risk).



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