> It would be a pretty bad strategy to continue to outsource everything and continue to see a massive trade imbalance with the outside world for a prolonged period of time.
It's not actually a strategy at all. It's the organic result of being the global reserve currency. Foreigners want American dollars so that they can trade with everyone else and are incentivized to do whatever it takes to get it.
Also, the "massive trade imbalance" is only an imbalance in goods. When you take services & the flow of foreign investments/loans into consideration as well, things don't look anywhere near as uneven as Donald Trump would like you to believe.
It’s not even just the flow of services Trump is ignoring: an iPhone is made in China but the design and software is done in the USA, most of the parts come from other countries, most of an iPhone’s value isn’t originating from China.
Trump wants us to give up high value jobs in designing hardware and software so we can make less working in factories again.
No... not everyone is capable of doing hardware or software design... There are over 350 million people in the US. There are nowhere near that many software/hardware jobs.. or other IP generating jobs. Not only that, but corporations are bringing in a lot of people to do those jobs as well, driving down those wages.
It's not even just jobs, it's also the tax revenue itself.. the population is overburdened with taxes and increased prices combined with relatively lower wages due to excessive inflation the past few years. While tariffs can increase prices, they can also eat into the margins of foreign production leading to more insourcing of jobs.
Beyond those aspects is being able to handle production of critical infrastructure in times of supply constraints... such as war or a global pandemic. You can increase from 50% production of medications to 100% of domestic needs pretty easily, but scaling from 0% is almost impossible in any reasonable time frame.
We already have a low unemployment rate and we have plenty of low paying jobs even in manufacturing that are going unfilled now. Surely those workers have to come from somewhere, and China is really eager to switch places with us. A decade from now Americans will probably be manufacturing stuff for rich Chinese consumers who would rather work jobs in product design and software development that we used to do, and we will owe it all to Trump and the voters that put him in power.
The best explanation I've heard for the falling birth rates of developed countries is that the cause is a massive increase in social expectation on parents.
It used to be that whether your child made it through childhood was up to God due to the massive number of risk factors beyond the parents' control. Those risk factors are much more easily mitigated in developed countries, so now the responsibility rests solely on the parents, and that's why kids can no longer go outside.
He's talking about BBC editing a Trump documentary in such a way that Trump looked even guiltier of inciting the January 6th riot at the U.S. Capitol than he already did.
> But they didn't need to be, because LLM function & tool calling is already trained on these models and MCP does not augment this functionality in any way.
I think you're making a weird semantic argument. How is MCP use not a tool call?
> Does AI result in greater productivity for engineers, and does greater productivity per person mean demand can be satisfied with fewer people?
Between the disagreements regarding performance metrics, the fact that AI will happily increase its own scope of work as well as facilitate increasing any task, sprint, or projects scope of work, and Jevons Paradox, the world may never know the answer to either of these questions.
> Within a minute Gemini 3 via Gemini CLI had picked up major architectural performance issue. I had it write it to a doc, had Codex review it, codex pushed back saying it's a non issue. Gave the pushback to Gemini 3, and it was insistent. Fed that back to codex and it completely caved, agreed, and pointed out that yes, it's a major issue, yes we need to deal with it right now in this stage of implementation, and yes the entire plan that Gemini 3 produced is rock solid.
Anecdotally, this means nothing, especially if you're basically saying that Gemini 3 in Codex CLI was arguing with Gemini 3 in Gemini CLI. Unless the CLI choice modifies the maximum effective context window or temperature, you're basically saying that you got lucky because RNG led you to choosing the option that worked out for you in the end.
Do you even have evidence that the "major architectural performance issue" actually was a "major architectural performance issue"?
It's not actually a strategy at all. It's the organic result of being the global reserve currency. Foreigners want American dollars so that they can trade with everyone else and are incentivized to do whatever it takes to get it.
Also, the "massive trade imbalance" is only an imbalance in goods. When you take services & the flow of foreign investments/loans into consideration as well, things don't look anywhere near as uneven as Donald Trump would like you to believe.