Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit | hiddencost's commentslogin

Google is a quarter million person company (if you count full time, temps, vendors and contractors).

Google Cloud is basically an entirely different company than Search or Maps. Cloud will happily sell you $10m in compute a year and a value add $400k of security consulting.


Why. Do. We. Keep. Posting. Gary. Marcus.

He's been writing variants of this kind of thing for decades and he's always been wrong.


Gary Marcus is not the only one that has been critical of Sam Altman: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l0K4XPu3Qhg

There's many other people but most of them are independent. It is glaringly obvious now most of the media outlets are afraid to ask the tough questions.


Sure, but why post Gary Marcus then?

That said, MPU has been pretty solidly crazy with their LLM critiques lately (did you know it uses all the drinking water?!?!?). There are plenty of sane, grounded-in-reality critiques. Why not focus on those?


Here is a more fun one to watch:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zrgEZ8FeZEc


I'm not a particularly big Gary Marcus fan, but I'm even less of a fan of the term "always".

I browsed back looking for posts of his that most obviously made predictions, and "GPT-5… now arriving Gate 8, Gate 9, Gate 10" make a few very clear predictions and was absolutely correct [0] about them.

This was in June 2024, and Marcus claims two major predictions:

- "As of today, I am more confident than ever that GPT-5 won’t land this year."

- "Gary Marcus is still betting that GPT-5 will continue to hallucinate and make a bunch of wacky errors, whenever it finally drops."

It would be over a year from his posting that article that GPT-5 would finally land, and his overall prediction that the result would be lack-luster was also spot on.

Again, I don't particularly care one way or another about Gary Marcus, but flat out dismissing his writing doesn't really hold up.

0. https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/gpt-5-now-arriving-gate-8-...


He also posted https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/lets-be-honest-generative-..., which got flagged as low effort spam about 30 minutes ago. https://news.ycombinator.com./item?id=46605587

Any examples? I've never heard of him, but that seems like a big statement.

> and he's always been wrong

Please explain in as much detail as you can because that is a very bold statement


No, you're not steel manning. You're just justifying unilateral regime change.

None of that matters.

There was no declaration of war powers from Congress, this entire operation is a flagrant violation of US and international law.

And, to point 1, this operation was carried out by a US President who attempted to violently overthrow the US government to avoid ceding power, which really puts a damper on point 1 I think.


> unilateral regime change.

The Venezuelan people voted for regime change. Maduro is the one who acted unilaterally by stealing power.


Who is feeding you this? Vaccines are some of the most unambiguously positive things ever developed, they're an easy win.


Those are not hard tasks ...


Waymo is 5 years ahead of Tesla, but Tesla has 50% of Google's market cap, with 10x the P/E.

So something isn't being priced correctly.


Uhhhhh yeah that's out of reach for a huge fraction of Americans, probably 80%.


According to the Fed

  - Median bank account balances in the U.S. range from $5,400 for those under 35
  - ... $13,400 for ages 65–74
So yeah, in range.

Does it require saving? Yes. But most Americans go on vacation each year. Give up the cost of a few years of vacations and you have this one.

I want to stress "not out of reach" doesn't mean easy. It explicitly doesn't mean one doesn't have to reach. I'd have said something very different if I meant most Americans could easily go on that trip. I specifically mean if it's something they really wanted to do, enough to save over a few years (or more) then that's something that could be accomplished.

https://www.investopedia.com/how-much-does-the-average-ameri...

https://www.statista.com/chart/31152/share-of-us-respondents...


Buddy. If you're building your world view around the DSM you're in serious trouble.

The only people who take the DSM seriously are insurance agents and charlatans.


The autism that's being examined in the referenced study is the DSM-V one, though. They are certainly picking people for the study that are diagnosed.


ICYMI Kavanaugh endorsed arresting people because they look brown so I'm not sure why we're putting any faith in the court system.


Bruh they're kidnapping people in the streets. They took over CBS and censored a documentary about CECOT.


> They took over CBS

Careful, this will get you labeled an antisemite


Warped democracy.


Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: